This commentary was originally published by The Regulatory Review. Reprinted with permission.
The U.S. Congress is back and the U.S. House of Representatives is already roiling, as exemplified by the lobbyists and pundits who trail members and staff through the halls and into their offices. Republicans are already desperate to regain momentum after tripping out of the starting gate, even astride their newly minted control of both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue—a “trifecta” in Washington lexicon.
The first order of business was to elect a speaker. Despite an endorsement from President Donald J. Trump, Representative Mike Johnson (R-La.) squeaked through with just the right number of votes after failing on the first roll call, hustling off the floor, and dropping presidential phone calls on the most malleable dissenters. After the departures of Matt Gaetz, a former Florida Representative, Representative Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), and Representative Michael Waltz (R-Fla.), the Republicans will hold the majority by two members. Johnson cannot afford to lose a single Republican unless Democrats are willing to help. He has already received a letter from eleven far right leaders of the House Freedom Caucus demanding that he deliver President Trump’s agenda without pandering to Democrats.
President Trump, for his part, has demanded that Johnson move “one big, beautiful bill” through the reconciliation process, which allows passage by simple majority in the Senate and would sidestep the 60-vote filibuster rule. President Trump’s proposed bill includes the extension and expansion of tax cuts for corporations and the super wealthy, new energy commitments to prioritize fossil fuels, and tougher immigration and deportation policies. President Trump also wants Congress to deal quickly with the debt ceiling.
Many backroom negotiations are inevitable, and the idea that a massive legislative package will be easier to pass could run into the reality that members will want innumerable concessions to take tough votes. The process will bog down, and Republicans must find something else to do.
Senator Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has already fingered the most promising possibility—killing Biden Administration rules under the Congressional Review Act (CRA). The CRA allows narrow majorities in Congress to pass “resolutions of disapproval” for recently issued final rules.
Like reconciliation, it sidesteps the filibuster. Senate debate is limited to no more than 10 hours, which are evenly divided between a resolution’s supporters and opponents. Once a rule has been successfully repealed, the issuing agency cannot replace it with a new rule that is “in substantially the same form.” What this “salt the earth” provision means in practice is the subject of considerable debate, but it has frightened agencies from addressing crucial topics.
The CRA is a potent vehicle for creating the illusion of legislative productivity in an otherwise dysfunctional Congress. The last time Republicans had a trifecta, Congress repealed 14 rules by mid-May 2016. Rule repeals accounted for almost half of the legislation sent to President Trump’s desk during the first 100 days of his first term. To further grease the skids, the CRA defuses other procedural trip wires, including committee-of-jurisdiction markups, floor vote calendars, and conference committees.
But the real gimmick of the CRA, as these situations reveal, is its so-called “lookback provisions.” These provisions allow a new Congress to reach back and repeal rules issued late during the previous administration. That is because the CRA is supposed to provide both chambers exactly 60 legislative days to review a rule—a period that in practice translates to several months’ worth of calendar days. Under this accounting, the most recent lookback period began sometime in mid-August of last year. For those rules released late enough that the 118th Congress did not have 60 days, the lookback provisions transport them into the 119th resetting the 60-day review clock.
Critically, the lookback provisions also serve to bypass the CRA’s major Achilles’ heel—the U.S. Constitution’s Presentment Clause. CRA resolutions, like all legislation, require a presidential signature to take effect. But no president in their right mind would sign a law repealing one of her own rules. So as soon as a trifecta is achieved and control shifts to the other party, the previous administration’s regulatory accomplishments can be repealed with minimal muss and fuss. That was just the situation in which President Trump and company found themselves in January 2017, and just the situation in which they find themselves now.
As this piece goes to press in late January, a list of resolutions is becoming available. Most of these resolutions deal with regulatory actions focused on immigration or environmental protection. If the experience of President Trump’s first term is any guide, these modest initial numbers will multiply quickly and could easily expand to several dozen entries. How resolutions rise to the top of the heap and are approved by votes of both bodies, is rarely revealed but undoubtedly involves some mixture of the strength of the lobby supporting them, White House preferences, and the clout of the member listed as primary sponsor.
Early memos from high-profile law firms promote several controversial candidates. If Democrats remain united and even one or two Republicans in purple districts peel off, this effort may prove far less successful. But if President Trump works with congressional Republicans and the narrow House majority holds, we could see major damage to the rules that the Biden Administration issued late in the term.
For example, one of the startling developments of the 2024 campaign was the International Brotherhood of Teamsters’ decision not to endorse either candidate, although several locals broke from the union’s national leadership and supported Vice President Kamala Harris. This development prompted some pundits to predict “a dramatic change” in labor policy under a new Trump Administration. With due respect, we think this shift is highly unlikely.
Congressional Republicans have a few choices if they are looking to veto rules that help working people. For example, a U.S. Department of Health and Human Services rule subject to the CRA would raise the salaries of Head Start teachers and improve their working conditions. Its repeal could be the first step in eliminating the program, as suggested by the far-right’s Project 2025. Head Start extends access to pre-school for more than 500,000 low-income children, promoting “school readiness” through health, educational, nutritional, and social services. Created in 1965 under President Lyndon B. Johnson’s War on Poverty, it has ensured the future success of millions of children. The program empowers women economically because it allows them to pursue educational or career goals as they raise children.
The U.S. Department of Labor finalized a second rule in mid-December. It blocks efforts by coal mine owners and operators to shift their responsibility for paying benefits to miners suffering from black lung disease back to the federal government through the Black Lung Disability Trust Fund, which is supported by an excise tax on coal tonnage and is billions of dollars in debt. Black lung disease is avoidable if coal owners suppress coal dust and silica within the mine. Many industry members attempt to evade regulations to prevent black lung, and since 1968 76,000 coal miners have died.
Turning to another favorite target, the CRA could be used against several rules the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency issued this past fall that the oil and gas industries and red state local governments will try to push onto the chopping block.
Methane is released into the air from a variety of sources, including facilities that produce oil and natural gas. As a greenhouse gas, it is 28 times more potent than carbon dioxide and causes about one-third of the climate change produced by human emissions. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 required a rule to curb methane emissions by imposing fees on inefficient onshore and offshore oil and natural gas producers. Most Americans sense that something is very wrong with the climate as drought, floods, and wildfires multiply. If rules such as this one are swept from the books and emissions continue, such conditions will become much worse.
Last but not least is a rule that requires the replacement of lead drinking water pipes. Based on extensive scientific research, the Center for Disease Control advises that no level of lead exposure is safe. Exposures at very low levels can cause neurodevelopmental problems in children under six and cause or exacerbate heart disease in adults. The nation has made progress in reducing lead in drinking water delivery systems but still has a long way to go. But because such systems are typically owned by local governments and distrust of science is rampant, resistance to the rule has spread.
Many Americans distrust government until they need it. Ironically, and fortunately, our expectations that government will respond to a crisis—fatal illnesses caused by working conditions, bad educational opportunities for children, the threats posed by climate change, or dangerous pollution—are sky high. Such responses cost money, take time, and need law to back them up. The CRA is a legislative “smash and grab”—designed to wipe the law off the books so easily that political backlash is almost impossible.
CRA resolutions have been rejected in the past. In 2017, Senator John McCain famously cast the deciding vote to block a resolution that would have repealed a U.S. Department of Interior rule meant to limit methane emissions from oil and gas development on public lands. Similarly, victories are within reach in the House, where the GOP majority is razor thin and party unity is fragile. The CRA should be repealed, but in the meantime specific rules can be saved.
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James Goodwin, Rena Steinzor | January 27, 2025
The U.S. Congress is back and the U.S. House of Representatives is already roiling, as exemplified by the lobbyists and pundits who trail members and staff through the halls and into their offices. Republicans are already desperate to regain momentum after tripping out of the starting gate, even astride their newly minted control of both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue—a “trifecta” in Washington lexicon. Many backroom negotiations are inevitable, and the idea that a massive legislative package will be easier to pass could run into the reality that members will want innumerable concessions to take tough votes. The process will bog down, and Republicans must find something else to do. Senator Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has already fingered the most promising possibility—killing Biden Administration rules under the Congressional Review Act (CRA). The CRA allows narrow majorities in Congress to pass “resolutions of disapproval” for recently issued final rules.
Federico Holm | January 27, 2025
If there were any doubts about the policy priorities of the second Trump administration, these have been swiftly clarified after the first barrage of executive orders (EOs) aimed at deconstructing environmental, scientific, and democratic safeguards. One of the most extensive EOs is titled “Unleashing American Energy,” which contains a wide array of actions aimed at boosting “America’s affordable and reliable energy and natural resources.” This is merely coded language for doubling down on an extractive model of development poised to pump, mine, and log every possible inch of American public lands. Unsurprisingly, it is also aimed at “unleashing” only some types of energy resources: fossil fuels.
Bryan Dunning, Federico Holm | January 22, 2025
Widely available clean drinking water is something that we usually take for granted. One of the main reasons is that the vast majority of the U.S. population has access to public water systems, which are in charge of providing safe drinking water to their users. However, in many parts of the country, particularly rural communities, people rely on private wells for sourcing their drinking water, which broadly lack regulatory safeguards for public health and well-being. This is particularly striking in Virginia, where 22 percent of the population relies on water supplied by a private well, with the share of private well use reaching upwards of 80 percent of the population in the Commonwealth’s most rural counties. As we explore in a new report, there is little comprehensive information on the distribution and severity of nitrate contamination in private well systems in Virginia.
James Goodwin | January 14, 2025
On January 15, the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee (HSGAC) will take up the nomination of Russell Vought to be president-elect Donald Trump’s Director of the Office of Management Budget (OMB). Vought’s nomination lacks the potential fireworks of Pete Hegseth (Secretary of the Department of Defense), Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services), or Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence), but his confirmation hearing will arguably be the most important of all Trump’s nominees.
Daniel Farber | January 2, 2025
President-elect Donald Trump’s picks for office provide a strong hint of what the next year will look like. In Trump’s first term, government actions were often overturned by the courts. Agencies made basic mistakes: skipping mandatory procedural steps, ignoring important evidence, or failing to address opposing arguments. Many people thought he had learned his lesson and would pick competent, experienced administrators this time. They were mostly wrong.
Minor Sinclair | December 11, 2024
The Center for Progressive Reform was founded during the George W. Bush era when Republicans won the White House and controlled both houses of Congress. As a candidate, Bush threatened to put in the crosshairs the nation’s social safety net, public protections, and the government’s role to protect civil rights, consumer rights, the environment, and the common good. The circumstances were similar to those we currently find ourselves in. Then, as now, our job was to secure the system of rules and regulations critical to protecting people from harm and the environment from degradation. Still, we now face challenges that are entirely new.
Daniel Farber | December 9, 2024
They say that history never repeats itself, but it often rhymes. As in many sequels, there will be many things we’ve seen before. Much of that consisted of an all-out attack on environmental law. If you hated the original, you won’t enjoy watching the same thing the second time around. But there are a few additions to the cast and some new backdrops on the set. Today, I’m going to talk about some areas of continuity.
Daniel Farber | December 2, 2024
When the U.S. Supreme Court overruled Chevron, one effect was to raise a crucial question about how courts should apply the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). For decades, courts have deferred to regulations issued by the White House Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ). The basis for that deference was a bit fuzzy, but now it is much fuzzier.
Daniel Farber | November 15, 2024
This is the final installment in our series of posts about the causation issue under NEPA. In our previous post, we laid out NEPA’s purposes and why analogies to tort law can misfire because that area of law has very different purposes. Today, building on our recent working paper, we explain the functional approach to causation that we believe courts should apply.