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Trump versus Cost-Benefit Analysis

This post was originally published by Legal Planet. Reprinted with permission.

EPA has said it would no longer try to quantify the harms done by the two most serious, widespread air pollutants. Given that these are the most fully understood of all environmental impacts, it’s not clear what future regulations, if any, might still be subject to cost-benefit analysis. This didn’t come out of the blue. Rather, it is the culmination of a series of steps that began when President Donald Trump first took office in 2017.

Trump seems to object to two of the three words in cost-benefit analysis. The first is the word “benefit.” Trump either doesn’t think regulations have any benefits or doesn’t care. Thus, starting in his first term, he modified regulatory review to downplay consideration of the benefits of regulation.

The second objectionable word is “analysis.” Analysis involves expertise, data, and reasoning, all of which have the potential to get in the way of ideology and presidential desires. That leaves only the third word, “costs,” which is the only aspect of regulation that influences Trump.

Trump first elevated costs above benefits in his first term with an executive order requiring that one existing regulation be repealed for every new regulation and that any new regulation, even if it was beneficial for society, be halted unless previous regulations of equal cost could be found and repealed.

In his second term, Trump issued a new version of this directive, “Unleashing Prosperity Through Deregulation.” Before any new regulation can be issued, regardless of how great its benefits might be, an agency would need to repeal at least 10 prior regulations, and those regulations had to cost more than the new one. Defenders of cost-benefit analysis like Cass Sunstein correctly pointed out that none of this makes sense if a new regulation passes cost-benefit analysis and increases social welfare.

Trump also indicated the low priority of cost-benefit analysis through his appointments. His first appointment as regulatory czar was a respected conservative legal scholar, Neomi Rao. Trump moved her to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals. Her replacement, serving in an active capacity, was a bright young lawyer with the thinnest of resumes.

So far in his second term, he hasn’t even bothered to nominate anyone to the fill the position. Instead, he appointed Jeffrey Clark, best known for his effort to overturn the 2020 election, in an acting capacity. When the time permitted for the acting appointment ran out, Trump installed Clark as the #2 person, who runs the office in the absence of anyone filling the #1 slot. Finally, Clark left, to be replaced by another lackey. Perhaps it doesn’t really matter, since the so-called “regulatory czar” now seems to be only an office assistant to Russell Vought, the head of the Office of Management and Budget, who has worked tirelessly to dismantle government agencies and American science. Notably, Trump’s “10-for-1” deregulation executive order doesn’t even bother with the regulatory czar’s office, instead delegating implementation to Vought.

By 2018, Trump’s executive orders and other administration actions had led me to write a post about “the rise of benefit-blind analysis.” Little did I know what was coming down the road. The second term is shaping up to be a rough ride, not just for environmentalists, but for anyone who thinks analysis should be an important part of government decisions.

Showing 3,000 results

Daniel Farber | May 15, 2026

Trump versus Cost-Benefit Analysis

EPA has said it would no longer try to quantify the harms done by the two most serious, widespread air pollutants. Given that these are the most fully understood of all environmental impacts, it’s not clear what future regulations, if any, might still be subject to cost-benefit analysis. This didn’t come out of the blue. Rather, it is the culmination of a series of steps that began when President Donald Trump first took office in 2017.

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Bryan Dunning | May 4, 2026

The Costs of Climate Change Are Rising. Shielding the Oil and Gas Industry from Accountability Is a Terrible Idea.

On April 23, the Baltimore Sun published an op-ed lambasting efforts by localities and states to hold the fossil fuel industry responsible for decades of misinformation about the dangers of their products. These hazards to the public’s health, welfare, and safety are now coming home to roost in the form of extreme weather, increased flooding […]

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Federico Holm | April 30, 2026

You Can’t Manage Forests Without Understanding Them

The U.S. Forest Service (USFS) is undergoing one of the most consequential and likely disruptive transformations in its 121-year history. The agency plans to relocate its headquarters from Washington, D.C., to Salt Lake City and overhaul its structure and management. According to a Forest Service press release from March 31, the overhaul aims to bring leadership “closer to the forests and communities they serve,” replacing the agency’s long-standing regional model with a state-based structure. At first glance, the rationale seems intuitive. Forest management should be informed by local conditions, local relationships, and decisions made closer to the ground. But that premise raises a more fundamental question: what happens when the scientific infrastructure that informs those decisions is dismantled at the same time?

Lemir Teron | April 29, 2026

Reflections on Unlearn Power: Strengthening Communities in the Age of Environmental Crisis

As the release date of my forthcoming book, Unlearn Power: Strengthening Communities in the Age of Environmental Crisis, approaches, naturally, I've been asked, "What's the book about?" But given the amalgamation of ecological devastation across the planet, with fallout and stakes unevenly felt across socioeconomic lines and underscored by political forces that engage in climate denialism and assaults on democratic institutions, I urge that "Why Unlearn Power?" is the more apropos question.

James Goodwin | April 23, 2026

We Just Met the Devil on Trump’s Shoulder

The pursuit of idiosyncratic grievances and obsession with exerting unconstrained power have been the hallmarks of President Trump’s second term so far. But it was only last week, during a pair of congressional hearings, that the American public received its first real introduction to the obscure administration official largely responsible for translating Trump’s worst impulses into action: Russell Vought.