Imagine being told that the global economy had lost between $2 trillion and $5 trillion in the last year. Presented with this information, you would probably think immediately of the seemingly ever-worsening economic crisis now sweeping the globe. In fact, that number refers to the annual economic losses attributable to global deforestation. For the record: Wall Street’s losses to date from the current financial crisis are somewhere between $1 trillion and $1.5 trillion.
The numbers on the costs of deforestation come from The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity, a recent report commissioned by the European Union. It says that the economic costs of deforestation are equal to about seven percent of the global GDP, and that the world economy has been taking that hit for a number of years running.
So how does chopping down trees result in economic losses? Wouldn’t it free up land for economically beneficial agricultural? Doesn’t the harvested timber provide raw materials that can be converted into houses and paper and other products that generate economic gain?
It’s true that deforestation results in short-term economic gains. According to the EU report, however, those gains are far outweighed by the values that are foregone when trees are not permitted to remain firmly planted in the ground. As the report points out, the economic value of forests comes from the services they provide, such as filtering non-point source pollution, absorbing carbon dioxide, and preventing soil erosion by anchoring down valuable, nutrient rich soil. (Incidentally, the value of nature’s services is rarely, if ever, taken into account in the cost-benefit analyses performed by federal executive agencies when making regulatory decisions. For example, when approving projects to clear-cut forests, the United States Forest Service does not account for the fact that these forests serve as invaluable sinks for greenhouse gas emissions. This provides yet another example of the methodological shortcomings inherent in the use of cost-benefit analysis.)
The innovation of the recent EU report is to offer the first systematic attempt at estimating the foregone values—what economists would refer to as opportunity costs—that result from annual deforestation. According to the report’s estimates, the trees that are cut down each year would have provided services worth between $2 trillion and $5 trillion. In other words, because these trees have been cut down and are no longer able to provide these services for free, humanity would have to pay around $2 trillion to $5 trillion to replicate these services through such efforts as water filtration plants or underground carbon sequestration projects.
Even in times of crisis—like the current economic one—we must take a step back and appreciate the big picture. The EU report offers perspective on the magnitude of the environmental degradation at a time when it is perhaps needed most. Indeed, numerous reports in recent weeks, including this Associated Press story, have predicted that the pursuit of environmental goals will have to take a backseat (perhaps even more than usual!) to fixing the world’s economic problems. The EU report demonstrates that, at a minimum, the current economic crisis pales in comparison to the ecological crisis resulting from global deforestation. Unfortunately, environmental issues like deforestation will likely continue to receive less attention from policymakers and the media than they deserve.
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James Goodwin | October 28, 2008
Imagine being told that the global economy had lost between $2 trillion and $5 trillion in the last year. Presented with this information, you would probably think immediately of the seemingly ever-worsening economic crisis now sweeping the globe. In fact, that number refers to the annual economic losses attributable to global deforestation. For the record: […]
Shana Campbell Jones | October 24, 2008
Earlier this month, and after six years of delay, EPA announced that it had decided not to regulate perchlorate, a component of rocket fuel and munitions that has leached into water supplies in various parts of the country, often near military bases. As it happened, the announcement came just a few days before the release […]
Margaret Clune Giblin | October 23, 2008
One recurrent theme of the Bush Administration’s regulatory approach has been the weakening of protective regulations – not just by weakening standards, but by erecting bureaucratic barriers to progress. In mid-August, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) provided another example of the later approach, proposing changes to rules implementing the Endangered Species Act (ESA)—changes […]
Matt Shudtz | October 22, 2008
Have you ever worried that your new car, van or SUV has too many seatbelts? Fear no more. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration just changed a federal regulation to make sure that only so many passengers can be safely belted in. And along the way, NHTSA is giving a gift to auto manufacturers by […]
David Adelman | August 25, 2008
I share Wendy’s concerns but also believe that there is room for optimism, although on different grounds than Rena and John. Much of the debate over the use of science to support regulation of public health and the environment has focused on the most challenging contexts. Toxics regulation, as we all know, rests on relatively […]
| August 25, 2008
Wendy asks a fair question: if I may rephrase, “If not science, then what?” Of course, this rephrasing is a little hyperbolic. No one suggests that there is no place for science. Indeed, as I mentioned before, it is the foundation of our concerns and provides essential (if limited and often uncertain) information about the […]
Wendy Wagner | August 23, 2008
As the moderator of this blog, I am the designated devil’s advocate. Read together, Rena’s and John’s entries make my assignment easy. Both write upbeat and insightful entries about their preferred approaches for the future, but they reach diametrically opposite conclusions. John suggests that the best solution for the manipulation of regulatory science is to […]
| August 21, 2008
Reading Wendy’s rather gloomy assessment of the abuse of science in regulatory decisionmaking – which is to say, in political decisions – and Rena’s more upbeat reply, I find myself asking why we are so tied to science in the first place. If the science is so subject to bias and abuse, why are we relying […]
Rena Steinzor | August 19, 2008
I think Wendy paints far too black a picture of the current state of affairs, and that rays of sunshine are beginning to poke through this particularly cloudy sky. I rest my case for more optimism on the increasingly aggressive role that scientific advisory boards are playing when political appointees at the Environmental Protection Agency […]